Retirement Planning
The Sequence-of-Returns Risk Most Retirees Don't See Coming
The order in which your portfolio gains and losses occur matters far more than the average return. Here's how to protect yourself in the critical years around retirement.
Most investors understand that markets go up and down. What far fewer appreciate is that the timing of those swings — not just their magnitude — can determine whether a retirement plan succeeds or fails. This is the sequence-of-returns risk, and it is one of the most consequential and least discussed forces in retirement planning.
Consider two retirees who each earn an identical average annual return of 6% over a 20-year retirement. The first experiences strong early returns followed by a downturn late in retirement. The second faces a significant market decline in the first few years, then recovers. Despite identical averages, the second retiree may run out of money a decade before the first. The difference is sequence.
The reason is straightforward: when you are drawing down a portfolio — taking withdrawals each year to fund living expenses — a loss early in retirement forces you to sell more shares at depressed prices to meet the same income need. Those shares are gone permanently. When the market recovers, you have fewer shares participating in the rebound. The math compounds against you.
The years immediately surrounding retirement — roughly five years before and five years after — are the most vulnerable window. Financial planners sometimes call this the 'retirement red zone.' A significant market decline during this period can permanently impair a portfolio's ability to sustain withdrawals for 20 or 30 years.
There are several strategies that can reduce this exposure. Building a cash or short-term bond reserve — sometimes called a 'bucket' — allows you to fund one to three years of living expenses without touching your equity portfolio during a downturn. A flexible withdrawal strategy, where you reduce discretionary spending in down years, can also meaningfully extend portfolio longevity. Some clients use annuities or permanent life insurance cash value as a source of income that is insulated from market volatility, preserving the equity portfolio during recoveries.
The most important step is to plan for this risk explicitly, before retirement begins. A financial plan that assumes a smooth average return will systematically underestimate the danger. A plan that stress-tests against adverse early sequences — and builds in structural protections — gives you a far more honest picture of where you stand.
Tax Strategy
Roth Conversions: When They Make Sense and When They Don't
Converting a traditional IRA to a Roth can be a powerful long-term move — but timing, tax brackets, and estate goals all determine whether it's right for you.
A Roth conversion is one of the most frequently discussed strategies in tax planning — and one of the most frequently misapplied. The concept is simple: you move money from a traditional IRA, where contributions were made pre-tax, into a Roth IRA, where future growth and withdrawals are tax-free. You pay income tax on the converted amount today in exchange for tax-free treatment later.
The question is whether that trade is worth making. The answer depends on several factors, and it is rarely the same for any two clients.
The most straightforward case for a Roth conversion is a temporary period of lower income. If you retire before Social Security begins, or before required minimum distributions kick in at age 73, you may have several years where your taxable income is unusually low. Converting in those years — filling up lower tax brackets deliberately — can be highly efficient. You pay tax at a rate you may never see again.
Estate planning is another compelling reason. Roth IRAs are not subject to required minimum distributions during the owner's lifetime, which means the account can continue growing tax-free for decades. When inherited, a Roth IRA still requires distributions over ten years under current law, but those distributions are tax-free to the beneficiary. For clients who do not need the IRA assets for their own retirement income, a Roth conversion can be a meaningful wealth transfer tool.
Conversions are less attractive when you expect your tax rate to be lower in retirement than it is today, when the tax bill would require liquidating other investments to pay, or when the conversion would push you into a higher Medicare premium bracket (IRMAA). The math also changes if your state has high income taxes that would apply to the conversion.
The right approach is usually not a single large conversion but a series of smaller, carefully sized conversions over several years — converting enough each year to fill a target bracket without crossing into the next. This requires coordinating with your tax advisor and modeling the long-term impact across multiple scenarios. It is the kind of planning that benefits from a consistent relationship with an advisor who knows your full financial picture.
A will is a starting point, not a strategy. We walk through the documents, structures, and conversations that a complete estate plan actually requires.
When most people think about estate planning, they think about a will. And a will is important — it directs how your probate assets are distributed and, critically, names a guardian for minor children. But a will alone leaves significant gaps that can create real hardship for the people you are trying to protect.
The first gap is incapacity. A will only takes effect at death. If you become unable to manage your own affairs — through illness, injury, or cognitive decline — a will provides no guidance. A durable power of attorney designates someone to manage your financial affairs if you cannot. A healthcare proxy (or healthcare power of attorney) designates someone to make medical decisions on your behalf. An advance directive, sometimes called a living will, documents your wishes regarding end-of-life care. Without these documents, your family may need to petition a court for guardianship — a process that is slow, expensive, and public.
The second gap is probate. Assets that pass through a will go through probate, a court-supervised process that can take months or years, costs money in legal and administrative fees, and is a matter of public record. Many assets pass outside of probate entirely — retirement accounts, life insurance, and jointly held property all transfer by beneficiary designation or operation of law. But if those designations are outdated or inconsistent with your wishes, the result can be the opposite of what you intended.
A revocable living trust is often the centerpiece of a more complete estate plan. Assets held in the trust avoid probate, transfer privately and efficiently, and can include detailed instructions for how assets are managed and distributed — including provisions for minor beneficiaries, spendthrift protections, or staggered distributions over time. The trust also provides a seamless mechanism for managing assets if you become incapacitated.
For clients with larger estates, irrevocable trusts — including irrevocable life insurance trusts, spousal lifetime access trusts, and charitable remainder trusts — can serve additional goals around estate tax reduction, asset protection, and philanthropic intent.
Perhaps most importantly, a complete estate plan requires honest conversations: with your spouse, your children, and your advisors. Who will serve as trustee? What are your wishes if you are incapacitated for an extended period? How do you want assets distributed among children or grandchildren? These conversations are often more valuable than the documents themselves — and they are the ones most families avoid until it is too late.
Executives and long-tenured employees often accumulate concentrated positions that feel like loyalty — but carry risks that a diversified portfolio would never accept.
For many executives and long-tenured employees, a concentrated position in company stock is not a deliberate investment decision — it is the accumulated result of years of equity compensation, stock options, and restricted share grants. Over time, a single holding can come to represent 30, 50, or even 70 percent of a household's investable assets. The position feels like loyalty. It often feels like identity. And it carries risks that a thoughtfully constructed portfolio would never accept.
The core problem is that your human capital and your financial capital are already correlated. Your salary, your bonus, your career trajectory, and your retirement benefits are all tied to the same company whose stock dominates your portfolio. If the company struggles, you may face reduced compensation, layoffs, and a declining stock price simultaneously. Diversification exists precisely to protect against this kind of correlated risk — but a concentrated position eliminates it.
The tax dimension makes this genuinely complex. A large concentrated position often carries a very low cost basis, meaning a straightforward sale would trigger a substantial capital gains tax bill. This creates a real tension: the financially rational move (diversify) conflicts with the tax-efficient move (hold). Many investors resolve this tension by holding indefinitely — which is rarely the right answer.
There are several strategies that can reduce concentration while managing the tax impact. A systematic sale program — selling a fixed percentage of the position each year — spreads the tax liability over time and removes emotion from the decision. Exchange funds allow investors to contribute appreciated stock in exchange for a diversified fund interest, deferring the gain. Charitable giving strategies, including donor-advised funds and charitable remainder trusts, can transfer appreciated shares without triggering capital gains while supporting philanthropic goals. Hedging strategies using options can provide downside protection while preserving the position.
The right approach depends on the size of the position, the cost basis, your income, your timeline, and your estate goals. What is rarely the right approach is to do nothing. The cost of inaction — measured in risk, not just taxes — is often far higher than investors realize until it is too late.
Financial Planning
How to Think About Liquidity When You Have Significant Wealth
High-net-worth households often have the opposite problem from most: too much tied up in illiquid assets. Here's a framework for thinking about accessible capital.
Most financial planning conversations about liquidity focus on the emergency fund — the three to six months of expenses that conventional wisdom says every household should keep in cash. For high-net-worth families, the liquidity question is more nuanced, and often runs in the opposite direction: not too little accessible capital, but too much wealth locked in assets that cannot be converted to cash quickly or without significant cost.
Real estate, private equity, closely held business interests, deferred compensation plans, and illiquid alternative investments can all represent substantial value that is genuinely inaccessible in the short term. This is not inherently a problem — illiquid assets often generate superior long-term returns precisely because they demand a patience premium. But illiquidity becomes a problem when it is unplanned, when it concentrates across multiple holdings simultaneously, or when it leaves a household unable to respond to opportunities or obligations.
A useful framework is to think about liquidity in tiers. The first tier is immediate liquidity: cash and cash equivalents available within days. This should cover near-term obligations, planned large expenditures, and a genuine emergency reserve — sized not to a generic formula but to your actual spending, your income stability, and the nature of your other assets.
The second tier is short-to-medium-term liquidity: assets that can be converted to cash within weeks to months without material loss of value. Publicly traded securities, short-duration bonds, and money market instruments typically fall here. This tier provides the capacity to respond to investment opportunities, fund a business need, or bridge a gap in income.
The third tier is long-term or strategic capital: real estate, private investments, business equity, and other illiquid holdings. These assets may represent the majority of a high-net-worth household's wealth, and they require a longer planning horizon. Understanding when and how they might be monetized — through sale, refinancing, or structured liquidity events — is an important part of a complete financial plan.
The goal is not to maximize liquidity — that would mean sacrificing the returns that illiquid assets can generate. The goal is to hold the right amount of liquidity at each tier, matched to your actual needs and timeline, so that your overall portfolio can remain invested for the long term without forcing you into poorly timed decisions.
Tax Strategy
Charitable Giving Strategies That Benefit You and the Causes You Care About
Donor-advised funds, qualified charitable distributions, and charitable remainder trusts each serve different goals. We break down which tools fit which situations.
Charitable giving is one of the few areas of financial planning where the interests of the donor and the tax code align almost perfectly. Done thoughtfully, giving can reduce income taxes, eliminate capital gains taxes, reduce estate taxes, and create a meaningful legacy — all while supporting the causes that matter most to you. Done without planning, the same dollars accomplish far less on every dimension.
The donor-advised fund (DAF) is the most versatile tool available to most donors. You contribute assets to the fund — cash, appreciated securities, or other property — and receive an immediate charitable deduction in the year of contribution. The assets then grow tax-free inside the fund, and you recommend grants to qualified charities over time, on your own schedule. This separation of the tax event from the giving decision is enormously useful: you can make a large contribution in a high-income year to maximize the deduction, then distribute the funds to charities over many years.
Contributing appreciated securities directly to a DAF — rather than selling them first — is one of the most tax-efficient moves available. You avoid the capital gains tax entirely, and the full fair market value of the securities is deductible. For donors who hold appreciated stock, this can be significantly more valuable than writing a check.
For retirees over age 70½, the qualified charitable distribution (QCD) is a powerful tool. A QCD allows you to transfer up to $105,000 per year (indexed for inflation) directly from an IRA to a qualified charity. The distribution counts toward your required minimum distribution but is excluded from taxable income entirely — it never appears on your tax return as income. For donors who do not itemize deductions, this is often more valuable than a standard charitable deduction.
Charitable remainder trusts (CRTs) serve a different purpose. You contribute appreciated assets to the trust, which sells them tax-free and reinvests the proceeds. The trust pays you an income stream for life or a term of years, and the remainder passes to charity at the end. CRTs are particularly useful for donors who want to convert a concentrated, low-basis position into a diversified income stream while supporting a charitable goal.
The right strategy depends on your income, your assets, your timeline, and the nature of your charitable intent. What is consistent across all of them is that the planning decisions — which assets to give, when, and through which vehicle — matter enormously. The difference between a well-structured giving strategy and an unplanned one can be measured in tens of thousands of dollars over a lifetime of giving.
Risk Management
Term vs. Permanent Life Insurance: Choosing the Right Protection for Your Stage of Life
Term insurance is simple and affordable; permanent insurance is flexible and enduring. Understanding the difference — and when each is appropriate — is one of the most consequential decisions in a financial plan.
Life insurance is one of the most misunderstood products in personal finance — simultaneously oversold in some contexts and undersold in others. The confusion often starts with the most basic question: term or permanent? The answer is not universal, and getting it wrong can mean paying for coverage you don't need or lacking coverage when you need it most.
Term life insurance is exactly what the name suggests: coverage for a defined period, typically 10, 20, or 30 years. If you die during the term, the policy pays the death benefit. If you outlive the term, the coverage ends and you have paid for protection you did not need — which, from a risk management perspective, is the ideal outcome. Term insurance is straightforward, transparent, and relatively inexpensive, particularly for younger, healthier applicants.
Term insurance is well-suited to covering needs that are temporary by nature: replacing income during working years, covering a mortgage, funding children's education, or protecting a business partner. When the underlying need expires — the mortgage is paid off, the children are independent, the business interest is transferred — the insurance need often expires with it.
Permanent life insurance — including whole life, universal life, and variable universal life — provides coverage for your entire life, as long as premiums are paid. It also accumulates a cash value over time, which can be accessed through loans or withdrawals. This combination of permanent death benefit and living benefit makes permanent insurance a more complex and more versatile instrument.
Permanent insurance is appropriate in several specific contexts. Estate planning is one: a permanent death benefit can provide liquidity to pay estate taxes, equalize inheritances among heirs, or fund a charitable bequest. Business succession is another: permanent insurance is often used to fund buy-sell agreements between business partners. And for clients who have maximized other tax-advantaged savings vehicles, the tax-deferred growth of permanent insurance cash value can serve as an additional component of a long-term financial plan.
The decision between term and permanent is not binary — many clients benefit from both, at different stages of life and for different purposes. What matters is that the coverage is sized correctly, structured appropriately, and reviewed regularly as your circumstances change. Life insurance is not a product you buy once and forget; it is a component of a financial plan that should evolve as your life does.
Risk Management
Long-Term Disability Insurance: The Coverage Most High Earners Underestimate
Your ability to earn income is likely your most valuable financial asset. Yet disability insurance is routinely overlooked, undersized, or misunderstood — often until it's too late to obtain it.
Ask most high-earning professionals what their most valuable financial asset is, and they will name their investment portfolio, their home, or their business. The correct answer, for most people in their working years, is their income. A physician, attorney, or executive earning $400,000 per year who works for 25 more years has a human capital value — the present value of future earnings — that dwarfs most investment portfolios. Disability insurance exists to protect that asset. Most people are dramatically underinsured against losing it.
The statistics are sobering. According to the Social Security Administration, more than one in four of today's 20-year-olds will experience a disability lasting 90 days or more before reaching retirement age. The causes are not primarily dramatic accidents — they are cancer, heart disease, musculoskeletal disorders, and mental health conditions. The risk is real, it is common, and it is largely invisible until it arrives.
Group disability coverage through an employer is a starting point, but it is rarely sufficient for high earners. Most group plans cap benefits at 60% of base salary, exclude bonuses and other variable compensation, and impose benefit maximums that can leave a high-income professional with a fraction of their pre-disability income. Group coverage is also typically not portable — if you leave your employer, you lose the coverage.
Individual disability insurance policies offer several advantages. They are portable, they can be structured to cover a higher percentage of total compensation, and they can include an own-occupation definition of disability — meaning the policy pays if you cannot perform the specific duties of your own occupation, even if you could theoretically work in another field. For a surgeon, an attorney, or any specialist whose income depends on a specific skill set, own-occupation coverage is essential.
The challenge is that individual disability insurance becomes more expensive and harder to obtain as you age or as your health changes. The optimal time to purchase coverage is when you are young and healthy — before you need it, and before the underwriting process becomes more restrictive. Many professionals delay this decision until they are in their 40s or 50s, by which point premiums are significantly higher and certain conditions may be excluded.
A complete disability insurance review should assess your current coverage — both group and individual — against your actual income, your fixed obligations, and your timeline to financial independence. The goal is not to replace every dollar of income indefinitely, but to ensure that a disability does not derail a financial plan that took decades to build.
Wealth Management
Permanent Life Insurance as a Down-Market Strategy: What the Research Shows
A landmark Ernst & Young study found that strategically drawing from permanent life insurance cash value during market downturns — rather than liquidating a depressed portfolio — can meaningfully improve retirement outcomes. Here's how the strategy works and who it's right for.
The conventional view of permanent life insurance in financial planning is that it serves one purpose: providing a death benefit. The cash value that accumulates inside a permanent policy is often treated as a secondary feature — useful in a pinch, but not central to a retirement income strategy. A body of research, including a widely cited Ernst & Young study, suggests this view significantly underestimates what permanent insurance can do when integrated thoughtfully into a broader financial plan.
The core insight is straightforward: permanent life insurance cash value is not correlated with equity markets. When your investment portfolio declines, the cash value in a whole life or indexed universal life policy does not decline with it. This non-correlation creates an opportunity that most retirement income strategies ignore.
The Ernst & Young study modeled retirement income scenarios in which retirees drew from their permanent life insurance cash value during years when their investment portfolio experienced negative returns — rather than selling equities at depressed prices. By preserving the portfolio during down years and allowing it to recover before resuming withdrawals, the strategy meaningfully reduced the sequence-of-returns risk that threatens so many retirement plans.
The results were significant. In the modeled scenarios, retirees who used this coordinated strategy — sometimes called the 'volatility buffer' approach — were able to sustain higher lifetime income, maintain larger portfolio balances, and in many cases leave a larger legacy than those who relied solely on a traditional portfolio withdrawal strategy. The death benefit of the policy also provided an additional layer of estate planning value.
It is important to be precise about what this strategy requires. It works best with a whole life or indexed universal life policy that has been in force long enough to accumulate meaningful cash value — typically at least 10 to 15 years. The policy must be properly structured from the outset, with an emphasis on cash value accumulation rather than death benefit alone. And the strategy requires discipline: drawing from the policy only during down markets, and replenishing the cash value when markets recover.
This is not a strategy for everyone. It requires a long planning horizon, a commitment to funding the policy consistently over many years, and a willingness to hold a product that is more complex than a term policy. But for clients who are building a comprehensive retirement income plan and have the capacity to implement it correctly, the research suggests it can be a meaningful addition to the toolkit. As with any strategy involving permanent insurance, the details of the policy structure matter enormously — and the guidance of an independent advisor who is not compensated by the insurance sale is essential.